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The World of strategic Intelligence can be a jungle. Grey Swans, Black Swans, Gray Rhino’s, are challenges at every turn.
That’s why we at Rodenberg Tillman & Associates pride ourselves of being the best at what we do. With over 35+ years of history we will guide you through this wilderness as

STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE & PREDICTIVE FORESIGHTS CONSULTANTS

Established in 1985

Strategic Competitive Intelligence

5 – 6 November 2024
Utrecht, The Netherlands

2 DAY INTERNATIONAL MASTERCLASS

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The ‘holy grail’ in forecasting is 51%. Imagine it will be possible to increase this holy grail in forecasting from 51% towards 75-85%. It is seen as incredible. However, we managed to do this with our new Paid Premium Service called

PREDICTIVE FORESIGHTS™

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Get access to our fast amount of Knowledge and Resources through our Academy. No matter if you are just starting in intelligence or are an expert in its field, we serve all levels at:

RODENBERG ACADEMY™

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As a Total Intelligence Solution Provider, we also provide all our Tools nicely integrated into your own physical or virtual:

COMPANY RADAR ROOMS

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What we can offer you

Master Classes

Rodenberg Tillman & Associates executes the Two days International Master Class Strategic Intelligence twice per year for the European market. With the Six Building Blocks™ all aspects are covered to become successful in strategic management and strategic intelligence. Our Master Class is applicable for professionals, managers, and leaders in international business from all various company functions: sales, marketing, strategy, innovation, business development, research & development, technology, purchasing, human resources and beyond. Every business individual who can’t just rely anymore on…

Predictive Foresights™ Premium Service

The ‘Holy Grail’ in forecasting is 51%. Imagine if it could be increased to 65%+. It is seen as incredible. However, we managed to do this with the crime rates of the City of Chicago, with the price of the Bitcoin 4-6 weeks ahead of the game and with the turning point of the “bull” market into the “bear” market at Wall Street in October 2018. We offer similar solutions with many other topics, which no other what-so-ever predictive analytics…

Market Intelligence Research

Our Market Intelligence professionals give indepth answers on your questions and issues the company is facing or will face the next couple of years. We deliver the insights & foresights on the dynamic changes in your organization’s business environment and concerns markets – customers – consumers – technology – research & development – competitors, business development & innovation, legislation and beyond. Change and innovation come in over 65% of all cases from outside your traditional and current markets. Therefore we…

Company Radar Rooms

The most effective way for an organization to implement its Intelligence process is to create a physical or virtual (MI7™) Company Radar Room that will allow people to work efficiently within this process. We can design & implement custom made Company Radar Rooms for your organization.

MI7™ – Knowledge Platform

Rodenberg Tillman & Associates created a state of the art Knowledge Platform named MI7™, this Platform allows for easy Retrieving, Storing, Managing, Visualizing, Collaborating and Communicating of knowledge within your organization. MI7™ can be seen as your virtual Central Radar Room and be integrated into a physical Central Radar Room.

Intelligence & Knowledge Audit

We provide different kinds of Audits. The Strategic Audit is a systematic process to define the requirements of the intelligence process. The challenge is to develop an intelligence process that accomplishes the major objectives of avoiding surprises, identifying market opportunities and minimising threats.

Intelligence Tools

Over the years Rodenberg Tillman & Associates have created many types of Intelligence Tools that are used during different parts of the services provided. Some of these tools are also available to you and your organization. We can give you access to these tools and educate on how to use and implement these within your organization.

Rodenberg Academy™

As part of Rodenberg Academy™, we provide different Master Classes and Webinars, from beginners to experts in Intelligence. With a proven track record, Rodenberg Tillman & Associates Educational services is the No1. provider of Intelligence Education within Europe. After completing your course, each attendee, will receive its Rodenberg Academy Certificate, which is Recognized by SCIP.

Intelligence Briefings

As part of Rodenberg Academy, Rodenberg Tillman & Associates provide twice per month our Free Intelligence Briefs. In these Intelligence Briefs different kinds of subjects are covert which include Predictive Foresights on events to come and identified Black Swans, Gray Swans and Gray Rhinos.

STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE & PREDICTIVE FORESIGHTS CONSULTANTS
Dont just take our Word for it

“It has been great to learn the Intelligence Frameworks of Rodenberg Tillman & Associates and they should be adopted by every decision maker across the world”

Gagan Sahani

Reliance Industries, India

“Together with Joseph Rodenberg and his team I was in the lead to introduce and implement Competitive Technology Intelligence at Shell and we created a great and simple Strategic Intent: To be the Best we must know the Rest”

Yoram Shoham

Shell International Exploration and Production, Netherlands

“The people at Rodenberg Tillman & Associates are tough guys to work with, because they always ask the difficult questions and challenge our assumptions”

Jonathan Price

Citigroup Bank, USA
Worldclass Organizations choose Rodenberg Tillman & Associates
Harmonize your Intelligence Processes, Increase your Knowledge Sharing Capabilities & Stay ahead of your Competition

There are more postdictors than predictors

As a result of hindsight, people who did not see an event coming, (think for example of Black or Grey Swans), will manage to convince themselves that they predicted it, before proceeding to convince others. According to Taleb, after every event there will be many more postdictors than true predictors. Think about this statement: “Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast or recommendation. Just ask them what they have or don’t have in their portfolio”.

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The competitiveness of nations

Nations and enterprises are in the business of managing a set of competencies and skills to achieve prosperity for the one and profit for the other. The Yearbook currently covers 63 countries and is based on 340 criteria grouped into four competitiveness factors: economic performance, government and business efficiency, and infrastructure.

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How to lead the organization through the dynamics of disruption?

In the previous post “How do we manage disruption?” we described how Nokia’s market position in 2010 was compared with a blazing oil platform leaving employees the choice of either jumping into the water even it was 100 meters deep and freezing cold, or staying on the rig and getting burned. In 1996, Intel’s Andy Grove of Intel published “Only the Paranoid Survive”.

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How do we manage disruption?

How do we manage disruption? Or more importantly, how do we recognize its dynamics, anticipate its likely effects, develop and manage responses and sustain the necessary changes? Disruption can come in any number of forms. These include shifts in the dynamics of competitive advantage, technological breakthroughs, shifts in cost structure, new rivals entering markets from converging sectors, regulatory upheavals, economic downturns, idiosyncratic geopolitical and natural events, unforeseen internal company events, deregulation, re-regulation, and political turbulence.

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Analysis is a precondition for creating Strategic Intelligence

Most decision-making in our organizations is still based on intuition and gut feeling. The aim of strategic competitive intelligence is critical thinking fueled by analysis and driven by perspectives over and above facts.Analysis is key and is a precondition for creating strategic intelligence. In analyzing data, we tend to discern patterns early, jump to conclusions, ignore contradictory information or take other mental shortcuts.

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Key Predictive Indicators

Do you recognize this statement? Think also about the Key Performance Indicators in your organizations, which are seen by management as essential tools telling them if their business is on target or veering off course. They are still, however, also tools for measurement. What should we think of these Key Predictive Indicators?

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Black Swans and Grey Swans

“The more threatening externalities become for a company, the more there is a need to have strategic intelligence in place. Every company faces a continuous flow of threatening externalities”This statement is clear to everybody. But to foresee those threatening externalities, companies need to be able to monitor them in a timely fashion. A couple of years ago, I gave presentations about the “Management of Insights” and the “Management of Foresight” at the Dutch National Marketing Insights Event.

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The role of strategic intelligence

Courage is necessary to make change possible. And intellectual courage is necessary to challenge conventional wisdom and the imagination of new possibilities. Leadership must refuse to accept limits or stop at industry boundaries. Lack of courage prevents positive change at all levels. Look at ineffective politicians who shift positions based on polling data, not on their convictions. Managers equivocate in response to new initiatives, observe struggles without support and without resources.

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